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Betting Against the Spread: NFL Week 9 Picks and Odds

One step forward, two steps back

Two awful beats and we're back to an 0-3 week in the NFL. Who knew Jacksonville's defense was going to give up on Thursday and that the Eagles would blow a 10-point fourth quarter lead? It just shows the odd nature of the sport in which there are now a ton of injuries and a ton of yellow flags that are making the product worse. This week there aren't too many great matchups, but nowadays it seems like that every week of the season.

 

Record: 8-16 (0-3 last week)

 

Teams on bye: Arizona, Chicago, Cincinnati, Houston, New England, Washington

 

Note: All times are ET and games on Sunday, Nov. 6 unless otherwise noted.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) at Baltimore Ravens (3-4), 1 p.m.

It's a heated rivalry any time these two teams play. It's also going to be helped out with both teams coming off a bye week. Pittsburgh could get Ben Roethlisberger back, and he could be all the difference for this offense and also how this game goes. His presence makes Le’Veon Bell a lot more viable and Antonio Brown becomes much more dangerous. Baltimore's defense clamps down on the run game, but I think the Ravens’ secondary can be beat. Baltimore’s offense is hard to trust with a poor run game and an inconsistent aerial attack. The Steelers struggle against the pass, but if Steve Smith doesn't play, they'll just have to deal with Mike Wallace and a myriad of tight ends. Baltimore has covered just six of its last 19 home games and 17 of its last 41 overall. This selection is solely based on Roethlisberger. You also can hope he plays and take the value with the road team. SELECTION: Steelers +3

 

Philadelphia Eagles (4-3) at New York Giants (4-3), 1 p.m.

Tough loss for the Eagles last week, but there is no denying that they are one of the best defenses in the league. Philly is holding teams to just 214.1 passing yards per game. They'll attempt to slow down Odell Beckham Jr. and company on Sunday. The problem for the Giants is the complete lack of a run game that is gaining just 70.3 rushing yards per game. New York's defense is better than the numbers indicate and this unit shouldn’t struggle to cover the Eagles’ mediocre receivers. Carson Wentz has come down a bit from his hot start to the season. The Giants have gone under in five of their six NFC games. I think this one will be a low-scoring tilt as well. SELECTION: Under 43

 

Buffalo Bills (4-4) at Seattle Seahawks (4-2), 8:30 p.m. (Monday)

The Bills head west to play Seattle. The Seahawks are struggling for traction, averaging just 18.7 points per game with Russell Wilson banged up and the severe lack of a run game. Buffalo's defense has had problems against the run, but has the corners to things interesting in this matchup. The problem for the Bills has been the health of the offense. LeSean McCoy, Marquise Goodwin, Sammy Watkins, Robert Woods and more have all been banged up (or worse) at some point this season. Seattle has given up just 52 points in three home games thus far. Buffalo has gone under in 15 of its last 21 games as an underdog and 12 of its last 19 road contests. SELECTION: Under 43.5

 

Notes:

 

— It's really hard to trust the Dolphins especially on Sunday when they are the better team. Did the bye come at the wrong time for Miami, which had won two straight at home? The Dolphins are in the mist of rare four home games in five weeks stretch and at minimum, should be able to move the ball against the Jets. The funny thing is that the Fins have had no problems disappointing in this situation either. It may not be a bad idea to maybe throw Miami in a teaser.

 

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.

Event Date: 
Wednesday, November 2, 2016 - 19:02

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