It’s the first week of the fantasy playoffs for most seasonal leagues and if you’re already out of contention perhaps you will be dabbling in some Daily Fantasy Football (DFS) so you can still take part. Well look no further as I have you covered with some of my top picks as well as value plays for Week 14 to help you get the most bang for your buck.
Week 13 was of the hit-and-miss variety. I had a few nice lineups, but put together plenty of duds too. Hopefully you were able to benefit from some of my picks and my advice didn’t completely ruin your week.
For Week 14, I am focusing on a GPP-ready pot. Players I list are in tougher matchups this week, but I still trust to them perform and meet value. I also used some of the tools over on lineups.com/nfl again for my preliminary research. This site is free and offers data that other sites may not have access to or provide. Checking box scores alone isn’t always enough. If a player is getting more touches or targets in the red zone for example they are more appealing than players who had one huge play and outscored others.
So, now that my synopsis is out of the way let’s get into my Week 14 DFS Picks shall we? If this is one of your first times playing DFS feel free to check out my "10 Tips to Win at DFS."
As always any questions, arguments, or glowing praise can be sent to me via Twitter @fantsychillpony.
Week 14 Core Plays
These will be my top plays of the week. These are players who I will try to have in as many lineups of mine as possible. If I can, I will use three or all four in one lineup. A reminder that for cash games going with an elite quarterback is typically recommended. If you go value at quarterback he MUST meet value for your loaded lineup to be worth it.
QB: Russell Wilson, Seattle at Jacksonville ($7,700 FanDuel/$6,200 DraftKings)
Wilson once again started slow and came on strong later in the game. He is a top-three fantasy quarterback each and every week, and with a modest running game now he is more of a threat throwing the ball. He is in a very tough matchup with the Jaguars defense, which has been playing very well this season. Top receiving option Doug Baldwin may be taking a hit somewhat, but he moves around plenty as well so he may not draw a shutdown corner the entire game. For GPP purposes he should be lower owned as well. Another plus.
Either way Wilson does it all, and matchup isn’t enough to scare me away and his price because of the matchup is very tasty.
RB: Lamar Miller, Houston vs. San Francisco ($6,600 FanDuel/$5,800 DraftKings)
Miller also is under-priced for his modest production over his last five games. He has accumulated double-digit DraftKings points in five of his last six, and has two games with more than 18 in that same span. He will usually snag a catch or two as well each week so there is enough volume and production to make him a solid play with high floor. With the receiving options I want to pay up for this week Miller is likely to not be a popular choice even though he’s facing one of the most generous teams to opposing RBs. Sign me up.
WR: A.J. Green, Cincinnati vs. Chicago ($8,300 FanDuel/$7,300 DraftKings)
The Bears have been middle of the pack against the pass this season and we all just saw what Green did on Monday night to a defense that’s considered better. Green should be considered matchup-proof either way, and he comes in at a low enough price for him to be one of my locks in Week 14. He may not see 16 targets again, but you never know. Even eight or nine would seem to be enough for him to produce each and every week.
WR: Adam Thielen, Minnesota at Carolina ($7,500 FanDuel/$7,200 DraftKings)
Thielen and the Vikings’ receivers were quiet all things considered in Week 13. Whether that will reduce his ownership this week or not remains to be seen, but the Panthers’ secondary is among the worst ranked in the league and Thielen should once again see a ton of looks. Double-digit targets for seven-plus catches are a realistic projection, and we have seen what Thielen can do with open space when he’s getting the ball. He should get back on track this week, and we can hope recency bias will scare people off of him.
TE: Jack Doyle, Indianapolis at Buffalo ($5,400 FanDuel /$4,900 DraftKings)
Doyle may not be seeing the red-zone targets like Jimmy Graham but he has had some bigger games against similar opponents this season. He is also seeing five-plus targets each week. Upside is here, and the price is right up my alley this week. Plus if you are into weird patterns, Doyle tends to have a dud followed by a double-digit performance. Well, he had a dud in Week 13 so here we go!
Value Plays of the Week
QB: Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay vs. Detroit ($7,200 FanDuel /$5,900 DraftKings)
Winston was not fantastic with a few costly turnovers against the Packers but he still threw for 270 yards and two touchdowns. The Lions are not much better against the pass and a second week at full strength makes this an appealing matchup for me if you are looking to diversify and go cheaper at the QB position.
RB: Frank Gore, Indianapolis at Buffalo ($5,500 FanDuel /$3,900 DraftKings)
Gore has had two and five carries in the red zone over his last two weeks along with 17 and 13 carries, which is plenty of volume for the veteran. But he only has one touchdown over his past eight games, and doesn’t do too much in the passing game. Maybe I am trying to talk myself out of him, but for a cheap play with a decent workload one could do much worse. Plus he is due for a touchdown with all those red-zone touches.
WR: DeSean Jackson, Tampa Bay vs. Detroit ($6,500 FanDuel /$4,400 DraftKings)
Jackson has 10, 3, 11 and 3 targets over the past four weeks. With Mike Evans likely getting covered by Darius Slay, Jackson may have some opportunities for more targets and he boasts a big ceiling. At only $4,400 he makes a great value play with upside to boot.
— Written by Chris Meyers, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network and a member of the FSWA. Meyers' work appears on many other sites, including socalledfantasyexperts.com. Follow him on Twitter @FantsyChillpony.