Skip to main content

Examining the Over/Under 2017 Win Totals for the NFC West

Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson

The last division left in our NFL over/under tour the NFC West, which might be the most “boring” of the eight. Seattle appears to the clear class of the division followed by the enigmatic Cardinals with a rebuilding San Francisco and Los Angeles bringing up the rear. Let's take a look at how Vegas and the South Point Casino view these teams.

Image placeholder title

2017 Win Totals: AFC East I AFC North I AFC South I AFC West I NFC East I NFC North I NFC South I NFC West

Image placeholder title

Arizona Cardinals

Over 8.5 wins -120...Under 8.5 EVEN

3/1 to win the division

Offense: Carson Palmer and Larry Fitzgerald are back for another (and possibly last?) run with the Cardinals. The concern with Palmer is him staying healthy behind a shaky offensive line. He was not the same quarterback last season compared to 2015, as he finished with 26 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Fitz is an all-time great and should remain a reliable and productive wide receiver. The depth behind him will need to be sorted out with Michael Floyd gone and John Brown dealing with the sickle-cell trait.  Fortunately, Arizona has David Johnson, a versatile running back capable of handling a big workload (373 touches in 2016).

Defense: Arizona's strength on this side of the ball is the secondary led by Patrick Peterson and Tyrann Mathieu. A couple of defensive backs left in free agency, but former Colt and 49er Antoine Bethea and second-round pick Budda Baker should ensure there’s not too much of a drop-off. The front seven should be good with Chandler Jones, Robert Nkemdiche, Markus Golden and new linebacker Karlos Dansby leading the way. First-round pick Haason Reddick also should make an immediate impact thanks to his versatility and athleticism.

Selection: This is an aging roster that may start to feel the effects of that if the team doesn’t get off to a good start. If everyone can stay on the field for 16 games then there may be one more run left. The Week 8 bye comes in a good spot, but Arizona has three games over a 14-day span to open the second half of its slate. The schedule sets up fairly well to put the Cardinals in position to get the over, but injuries and the age of certain players are concerns so I'd be careful with that play.

Image placeholder title

Los Angeles Rams

Over 5.5 wins -125...Under 5.5 +105

15/1 to win the division

Offense: The acquisition of Sammy Watkins will be big for Todd Gurley, who struggled with stacked boxes all season long. Gurley had a down year because of that and a mediocre offensive line. The big question is if rookie head coach Sean McVay can work wonders with Jared Goff. McVay was big in Kirk Cousins' development in Washington. The rest of the WR group includes Tavon Austin, Robert Woods, Pharoh Cooper, Josh Reynolds and rookie Cooper Kupp.

Defense: Aaron Donald's holdout changes the outlook for this side of the ball. The huge defensive tackle is a game changer so his absence will be huge. Cornerback Trumaine Johnson is playing under the franchise tag once again. He'll be motivated to play well in hopes of getting that big contract next offseason. The hiring of Wade Phillips as coordinator adds legitimacy this group and he'll figure out how to get more from his secondary and linebackers.

Scroll to Continue

Recommended Articles

Selection: McVay was an interesting hire as he's the youngest head coach in league history. There's no doubt that he knows his stuff and will be good for the offense. The question will be how he handles the daily grind as the man in charge. Also, how will the crowd support be for them in year two back in Los Angeles? The Rams open with two straight at home, offering an opportunity for a fast start against the Colts and Redskins. Unfortunately it's a tough schedule and I lean to the under, especially at that price.

Image placeholder title

San Francisco 49ers

Over 4.5 wins -150...Under 4.5 +130

35/1 to win the division

Offense: Brian Hoyer takes over at quarterback before the team goes after someone in free agency (Kirk Cousins) and/or the draft next year. Kyle Shanahan should be happy at the abundance of moves this team made in free agency to upgrade. Additions include Pierre Garcon, Marquise Goodwin and Aldrick Robinson at wide receiver.  Logan Paulsen also signed to pair with Vance McDonald at tight end. If Carlos Hyde can stay healthy, then this may be a decent unit. Tim Hightower backs him up and he's a good veteran to have in the locker room.

Defense: Getting Reuben Foster late in the first round could end up being a coup for the team if he can show he’s healthy. Between him and No. 3 overall pick Solomon Thomas, there will be an infusion of youth on defense. DeForest Buckner and Erik Armstead are back to anchor the defensive line. I'm not in love with San Francisco’s cornerbacks, but Eric Reid and Jimmie Ward are no worse than serviceable at safety.

Selection: Teams very rarely win right away when they live extensively in free agency. The 49ers made some shrewd moves and Kyle Shanahan will do what he can with the roster as it’s currently constructed. I'll say this – the 49ers will win more than two games.  But I don’t think it will be many more than that because of a tough schedule, a later bye (Week 11), and two stretches with at least two road games in a row. I'm not touching this line.

Seahawks Schedule

Seattle Seahawks

Over 10.5 wins -120...Under 10.5 EVEN

-320 to win the division

Offense: The band is pretty much back together with Russell Wilson under center. The offensive line needs to be better though if Wilson hopes to make it through the season and not constantly be on the run. Eddie Lacy represents an intriguing option at running back to be paired off with Thomas Rawls, who needs to try and curtail his injury history, and C.J. Prosise. Paul Richardson is the name to watch in the wide receiver group as he's ready to break out alongside Doug Baldwin.

Defense: The secondary will challenge Denver for the best in the league once again. Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor and Earl Thomas are a tough group to throw on. The team did draft four new CBs and safeties this past season. I'm going to be interested to see how second-round pick Malik McDowell will be used up front. Michael Bennett and Cliff Avril lead the way up front.

Selection: It'll be interesting to see if the kicking game changes at all with Steven Hauschka gone and Blair Walsh replacing him. Much like the Steelers, it would be a huge upset if Seattle isn't standing atop its division at the end of the season. The Seahawks do have to travel to Green Bay, Tennessee, Dallas and New York. I've got them with at least 10 wins so take the over.

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.