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Examining the Over/Under 2018 Win Totals for the NFC West

Jared Goff

Jared Goff

The NFC West is going to become interesting if someone emerges to challenge the defending champs, the Rams. Los Angeles tried to form its own version of the dream team this offseason especially on defense. Seattle used to run things in this division, but have lost a lot of talent from the past. San Francisco and Arizona are probably a year or two away, but each appears headed in the right direction. Let's take a look at what the South Point sportsbook thinks in terms of win totals for the NFC West and see if there's any value in the over/under for each team.

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Arizona Cardinals

Over 6 wins -110...Under 6 wins -110

Offense: It'll be fun for the team with Sam Bradford taking over for Carson Palmer while Josh Rosen waits in the wings. Of course with Bradford's injury history, if you wait long enough he'll probably be hurt anyways. The good news is that David Johnson is back and looking strong in the preseason. He'll be taking on a ton of work considering the lack of weapons elsewhere. Larry Fitzgerald is as steady a wide receiver as they come. The problems come on the other side where it could be Brice Butler, J.J. Nelson, Chad Williams or Christian Kirk as the primary No. 2. The offensive line has already lost center A.Q. Shipley for the season (torn ACL) and that's going to hurt.

Defense: Patrick Peterson is still one of the best cornerbacks in football. He does not get a ton of passes thrown his way either because teams fear him. Budda Baker is an improving safety as well. He pairs off nicely with veteran Antoine Bethea. The front seven is very strong with Chandler Jones putting pressure on the quarterback. It'll be interesting to see if Robert Nkemdiche can take the next step. Haason Reddick was good, but could be even better at linebacker. I like where this side of the ball is going with some solid, young options.

Verdict: Arizona can start fast with three of its first four at home including winnable contests against Washington and Chicago. It gets harder down the stretch when the Cardinals have to travel to Los Angeles, Green Bay, Atlanta and Seattle over the last six weeks. I think six is about right and will be fascinated to see when Rosen takes over at quarterback. 

NFL Power Rankings: Rams

Los Angeles Rams

Over 10 wins -115...Under 10 wins -105

Offense: Todd Gurley got paid this offseason and it's easy to see why. The running back surpassed 330 touches last year and also was the team's leading receiver. Can Jared Goff continue to improve under Sean McVay? Goff had 28 touchdowns to just seven interceptions. His weapons were upgraded with the addition of Brandin Cooks, who joins Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp. Kupp had 62 receptions and was a solid safety valve as a rookie. The tight ends aren't that strong although Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett are young and capable of taking the next step.

Defense: Everything seems to be in place for this to be the best defense in football. The lone question mark comes at linebacker where it's Mark Barron and a bunch of nobodies it seems. New cornerbacks Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib should form a fantastic duo, but how will they handle losing if it comes? I'm convinced that Talib wasn't great for the Broncos' locker room when things turned bad. Ndamukong Suh sounds like a great acquisition, but he had his issues in Miami. Finally, Aaron Donald is one of the best in the league, but is still looking for a new contract. Defensive coordinator Wade Phillips has plenty of chess pieces to play with, but he could have his hands full at the first sign of adversity.

Verdict: This team should win the division and do so rather easily. Still, it'll be interesting to see if the Rams were a flash in the pan or are real contenders. They have three straight at home Weeks 2-4, but then have three in a row on the road. Los Angeles has just two true home games the last seven weeks of the season. The schedule is tougher so I lean to either the 10 or the under.

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San Francisco 49ers

Over 8.5 wins +115...Under 8.5 wins -135

Offense: Kyle Shanahan has the offense going in the right direction especially with Jimmy Garoppolo leading the way. The team gave him a hefty contract in the offseason based on him dominating the end of the 2017 campaign. At running back it'll be Jerick McKinnon with Matt Breida and maybe Raheem Mostert or Alfred Morris if he makes the team. McKinnon has played Robin in some offenses so we'll see how he handles being Batman. Reports from practice have Jimmy G building a solid rapport with Marquise Goodwin. He's got great speed and will benefit from having a veteran like Pierre Garcon opposite him.

Defense: Richard Sherman isn't what he used to be, but that doesn't mean he can't be effective. The former Seattle corner is pretty crafty and will be a good leader for the rest of this young group. Jimmie Ward, Ahkello Witherspoon and the rest will try to be the other CB. The front line has some potential with Arik Armstead and DeForest Buckner while Reuben Foster, Malcolm Smith and Eli Harold represent a solid linebacking corps. Seventh-rounder Julian Taylor has been a good story for the defensive line. This side of the ball is going to be fearsome in a year or two.

Verdict: Early road trips to Minnesota, Kansas City, Green Bay and Los Angeles are pretty daunting early on. The 49ers do have three of their final four contests in San Francisco. Garoppolo isn't going to go undefeated so the question is what happens when things get tougher. They are still a weapon or two away on offense. I agree with the money move.

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Seattle Seahawks

Over 7.5 wins -115...Under 7.5 wins -105

Offense: As long as the Seahawks have Russell Wilson, they will be competitive. Wilson's mobility has helped him survive (and thrive statistically) even with a leaky offensive line. Still, if he gets hurt, it'll go downhill quick. Chris Carson has had a good preseason while first-round draft pick Rashaad Penny is expected to see plenty of touches. Doug Baldwin has been battling injuries in training camp so he's a bit of a question mark. Brandon Marshall is another veteran, but he may not even make the team. Until then, it's up to Jaron Brown and Tyler Lockett to make things work. Jimmy Graham is gone so the Seahawks have a bit of a hole to fill at tight end.

Defense: The big names are almost all gone from this side of the ball. The Legion of Boom is reduced to Byron Maxwell and Earl Thomas, who is holding out. The safeties now are Brad McDougald, Tedric Thompson and a bunch of other no-names. At least Bobby Wagner and KJ Wright are patrolling the middle of the defense while Frank Clark is a pass rusher up front. Otherwise, the fans may need name tags to identify some of these guys.

Verdict: It could be a long year in Seattle especially if Baldwin can't get healthy. The Seahawks' offensive line has been a occurring sore spot, which has reduced the effectiveness of the running game, and the defense is a shell of its former self. Seattle has just two home games the first eight weeks of the season, but closes out with four of five at CenturyLink Field. The under is probably worth a look here.

-- Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.