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Examining the Over/Under 2015 Win Totals for the NFC East

Jason Garrett

Jason Garrett

DeMarco Murray jumped ship, but stayed in the NFC East, taking his almost 2,000 yards rushing to Philadelphia where he can torment Dallas twice a year. Time will tell if that's enough to tip the scales to the Eagles in this division. We know that the Giants also will have something to say, especially if Victor Cruz can get healthy. The Redskins are building towards respectability, but are probably at least another year away from contending.

Much like I did with the college football win totals, I will break down the schedules in terms of home and road opponents outside the division. In most situations, I'll give a split to each team in divisional play with them winning at home and losing on the road. Vegas is much more on the ball in the NFL compared to college football so the numbers are a lot sharper.

Note: Over/under odds courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook

NFC East

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Dallas Cowboys

(Over 9.5 wins -140, Under 9.5 wins +120)

Record Last Year: 12-4

Offense: DeMarco Murray's departure leaves a huge hole at running back for Dallas. The Cowboys added Darren McFadden, but he joins a crowded group with Joseph Randle, Lance Dunbar and Ryan Williams also vying for touches. Williams, a former all-conference performer at Virginia Tech hasn't been mentioned much, but if healthy, he could be a wild card. Pretty much everything else is in place and stable now that Dez Bryant got his money and is happy.

Defense: Greg Hardy's suspension has been reduced to four games, which will help a unit that is dying to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Dallas also had Nebraska's Randy Gregory fall to them in the draft, giving them more potential pass-rushing options. Byron Jones will help a secondary that was 26th against the pass in 2014.

Schedule: The toughest stretch could be from Weeks 10-14 when Dallas plays at Tampa Bay and Miami followed by a quick turnaround at home against Carolina. After the Panthers, the Cowboys get road games at Washington and Green Bay. Heck, it doesn't get easier with a Saturday night home tilt with the Jets after that.

Prediction: I'm taking the under with Dallas. Road games at New Orleans, Miami, Green Bay and Buffalo are just part of a schedule that I think has the Cowboys back to their familiar 8-8 finishes. This is just not as fierce an offense without a competent ball carrier.

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New York Giants

(Over 8.5 wins +120, Under 8.5 wins -140)

Record Last Year: 6-10

Offense: Just in case you lived under a rock last year, Odell Beckham Jr. had a pretty good rookie season for the Giants. He scored 12 touchdowns in 12 games and nearly hauled in 100 catches. The big key for this offense is Victor Cruz and his health. Even if he spends the start of the season on the PUP list, Cruz can be a factor. The injury to Will Beatty is a huge problem for the offensive line, as first-round pick Ereck Flowers will probably start and may not be ready to. Running back Shane Vereen is an underrated addition, especially given his ability to catch passes out of the backfield.

Defense: It was an interesting offseason for this side of the ball. Jason Pierre-Paul severely injured his hands in a fireworks accident and there's no timetable for his return nor does anyone know how effective after having his right index finger amputated. The Giants drafted Landon Collins out of Alabama and he'll step right in at safety, a position that desperately needs help. Linebacker Jon Beason being completely healthy will be huge as he's a critical piece to this defense.

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Schedule: New York has one of the latest byes (Week 11), which won't bode well for a team that has had injury issues in the past. The Giants play one set of back-to-back home games and one set of back-to-back road contests.

Prediction: I like the under for the Giants too. With all of the NFC East teams getting the AFC East in crossover play, you will probably see lower win totals in this division. Too many questions for this Giants team as of now for me to have any confidence in the over.

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Philadelphia Eagles

(Over 9.5 wins +125, Under 9.5 wins -145)

Record Last Year: 10-6

Offense: Chip Kelly went to work on this side of the ball. He brought in the aforementioned Murray, as well as Sam Bradford, Ryan Mathews and Miles Austin, and drafted Nelson Agholor in the first round. Leaving Philly was Nick Foles, Jeremy Maclin, LeSean McCoy, Evan Mathis and Todd Herremans. One could argue that the combination of Murray and Mathews will be better then McCoy, but will that once stout offensive line still be good without two veteran starters? Bradford and Mark Sanchez will have one of the best quarterback competitions in training camp and the winner should put up good statistics despite Maclin leaving.

Defense: This horrific secondary got a complete overhaul from last year. Gone are Cary Williams, Bradley Fletcher and Nate Allen and in comes Byron Maxwell, Walter Thurmond and second-round pick Eric Rowe. Whomever is back there should benefit from a front seven that will put plenty of pressure on the QB. This defense had 49 sacks last year and should be fun to watch.

Schedule: Things start fast for Philly with three of the first four on the road with the lone home game coming in Week 2 against Dallas. The Eagles host Buffalo, Arizona and Washington Weeks 14-16 before a road game at the Giants to finish out the year.

Prediction: I'm abstaining from this selection based on the fact that I'm an Eagles fan and can't clearly make a prediction. You can also point to the uncertainty at QB and the sheer number of moves that were made this offseason. Chip Kelly is setting himself up for backlash if the grand experiment fails.

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Washington Redskins

(Over 6.5 wins +120, Under 6.5 wins -140)

Record Last Year: 4-12

Offense: It's pretty easy to see that this unit goes as Robert Griffin III goes. The weapons are there all around RG3 with Jordan Reed, DeSean Jackson, Pierre Garcon and Alfred Morris. The front line is a question mark although Brandon Scherff is a great pick to build around alongside Trent Williams. Rookie Matt Jones is a nice complement to Morris at RB.

Defense: This side of the ball was the focus of the offseason with Chris Culliver, Dashon Goldson, Ricky Jean-Francois, Terrance Knighton and Stephen Paea all being added to a unit to only lost Jarvis Jenkins and Brian Orakpo. The secondary was picked apart at times and should see some improvement with another year of seasoning for Bashaud Breeland and David Amerson.

Schedule: Three of the first four are at home with the Dolphins, Rams and Eagles coming to FedEx Field. It gets rough at the end of the year with three of the final four on the road (Chicago, Philly and Dallas).

Prediction: There's value with the over. The talent is there for the Redskins if Griffin improves from last year. The Redskins finally have a GM in place who knows what he's doing and it's going to start to show on the field.

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.