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Examining the Over/Under 2016 Win Totals for the NFC East


Once again, this was one of the busiest divisions in all of football. Dallas drafted Ezekiel Elliott to add to Tony Romo, who may or may not play 16 games this season. The Giants retooled their defense while the Eagles hope that three quarterbacks actually equal one. Finally, you have the Redskins, the picture of consistency this offseason, which added All-Pro cornerback Josh Norman to an already pretty good secondary.

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Related: NFL Scouts Talk Anonymously About NFC East Teams

Much like I did with the college football win totals, I will break down the schedules in terms of home and road opponents outside the division. In most situations, I'll give a split to each team in divisional play with them winning at home and losing on the road. Vegas is much more on the ball in the NFL compared to college football so the numbers are a lot sharper.

Note: Over/under odds courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook

NFC East

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Dallas Cowboys

(Over 9 wins -134, Under 9 wins +104)

Record Last Year: 4-12

Offense: Ezekiel Elliott helps legitimize this run game that should run smoothly behind one of the best offensive lines in football. The big key though is Tony Romo's health after he played just four games last year. The offense went downhill without him, meaning Dez Bryant became less effective. The pieces are there for this side of the ball to be successful.

Defense: An already awful group will be without Demarcus Lawrence, Rolando McClain and Randy Gregory for differing lengths of time due to suspension. Teams early on in the schedule will be able to move the ball almost at will on Dallas.

Schedule: The toughest stretch of the schedule could be when Dallas plays four of six on the road. The Cowboys play at Green Bay, Pittsburgh and Minnesota to go along with a home matchup against the Bengals.

Prediction: I think the nine wins is about right. It's hard to project Dallas because of Romo's injury history and because of the defensive suspensions. The offense has all the pieces to be very tough to defend, but that unit will have to carry the load because the defense could be that bad.

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New York Giants

(Over 8 wins -130, Under 8 wins +110)

Record Last Year: 6-10

Offense: The Giants have a ton of weapons at WR with Odell Beckham Jr. and Sterling Shepard as well as a healthier Victor Cruz. The running back position is a bit of a muddled mess, although Rashad Jennings has been doing good work in training camp. Rookie Paul Perkins could be a factor as well as Shane Vereen. I'm still not that convinced in this team's offensive line and think there could be issues up front at times.

Defense: There was a complete retooling on this side of the ball. Damon Harrison, Olivier Vernon, Janoris Jenkins and Leon Hall are newcomers and should be able to help. Linebacker could be a weakness, but the front line is more than capable of making up for it.

Schedule: New York comes out of its Week 8 bye with three straight home contests against the Eagles, Bengals and Bears. They play back-to-back road games three times this season as well. One of those is a tough stretch at Minnesota and at Green Bay.

Prediction: I like the over for the Giants. Every couple of years this team seems to figure it out and make a decent run. They may be the best team in the division if things work out for the new pieces on defense.

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Philadelphia Eagles

(Over 7 wins +125, Under 7 wins -155)

Record Last Year: 7-9

Offense: Chip Kelly is gone and the team is now left to pick up the pieces. It all starts at quarterback where Sam Bradford is a temporary placeholder for Carson Wentz, who may see time at some point this season. Ryan Mathews is penciled in at running back, but he's already hurt and not 100 percent. Jordan Matthews is the No. 1 wide reciever, but he's banged up and is coming off a down year. Basically, you could see a lot of tight end Zach Ertz.

Defense: The secondary got an upgrade when the team added Rodney McLeod. They brought over Ron Brooks and Leodis McKelvin from Buffalo as well new coordinator Jim Schwartz. The front seven is fierce with the freshly paid Fletcher Cox. This could be an underrated group if they stay healthy.

Schedule: Philly has the earliest bye, which comes in Week 4. The Eagles come out of that week with four of their next five on the road. The toughest stretch features the Packers, Seahawks and Bengals.

Prediction: Despite the fact that I hope it's not true as an Eagles fan, I think the under is the play. It could be a long season for Philly with all the question marks on offense as well as a new coach trying to mesh everything together.

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Washington Redskins

(Over 7 wins -138, Under 7 wins +108)

Record Last Year: 9-7

Offense: It's Kirk Cousins team now that RG3 is in Cleveland. The former Michigan State quarterback had a breakthough year in 2015, but he took advantage of an easy schedule and a healthy group of weapons. Jordan Reed is arguably the second best tight end in football while DeSean Jackson, Pierre Garcon and Jamison Crowder are a solid group out wide. The offensive line is young, but improving.

Defense: Josh Norman fell into the team's lap late this offseason. Norman and Bashaud Breeland are a good pair of corners. DeAngelo Hall and Will Blackmon are both transitioning to safety. The loss of Junior Galette is a bummer, but he has yet to play a regular season game with Washington. The front seven should be solid as well.

Schedule: The Redskins have a three-game road trip towards the end of November playing at Dallas, Arizona and Philadelphia. They also have several short turnarounds throughout the slate. Opening up with Dallas and Pittsburgh at home will be interesting.

Prediction: I lean to the over, but not by a lot. Washington will be tested both by opponents and time constraints. The Redskins are a better team (on paper) than last year especially with the addition of Norman. Can Cousins take the next step is the big question?

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.

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