Finding the best bargains in daily/weekly fantasy football
We all would like to budget wisely, and it's no different in daily or weekly fantasy football.
If you are playing in a salary-capped game at either FanDuel or DraftKings, here are a few value plays and bargains at the quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end positions for Week 11 of the NFL season that should allow you to hold on to some of that money to spend on the big-name studs.
Only two more weeks of byes. We lose four teams this week, two the next and then you have a full slate the rest of the way. Gone from your lineups this week are players from Baltimore, Dallas, Jacksonville, and the New York Jets.
VALUE PLAYS (salaries in parenthesis are that of FanDuel's and DraftKings)
1.) Derek Carr, Oakland vs. San Diego ($6600/5100)
The Chargers are the third-friendliest team to QBs over the last five weeks (four games). Carr was part of that run when he threw for 282 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception in the teams' Week 6 meeting. Carr has since thrown five touchdown passes in four games, including two apiece in the last two games. He has, however, also thrown for under 200 in three of the last four, and two interceptions in each of the last two. The Chargers have not recorded an interception since picking off Carr in Week 6, and have just four this season.
2.) Teddy Bridgewater, Minnesota vs. Chicago ($6600/5900)
This is opportunity over talent, and let's see if the rookie can capitalize. The Bears have been blasted, historically blasted to the tune of back-to-back 50-spots against them the last two games. In those 50-pointers were 11 touchdown passes and no interceptions. Of course those quarterbacks were Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. Bridgewater, who threw no touchdowns and three interceptions in his first three starts has bounced back with a scoring strike in each of his last three games to just two interceptions (both in Week 7). Even without the last two games for Chicago's defense, they were still surrendering the eighth-most points to QBs; they lead the pack now by more than 2 fantasy points per game.
3.) Matt Ryan, Atlanta vs. Carolina ($7700/6400)
The Panthers allow the fourth-most points to QBs, and have given up multiple touchdown passes in seven games. Ryan has thrown for multiple TDs in just four games this season, but did do so against the Panthers in their Week 17 meeting last season (2 TDs, 1 INT, 280 yards).
1.) Ryan Mathews, San Diego vs. Oakland ($6200/4500)
Mathews is expected to make his return to the field for the first time since suffering a knee sprain on Sept. 14. In his return he gets a Raiders team that is third friendliest to RBs over the last five weeks (five games). Five rushing touchdowns, two receiving touchdowns, and 832 total yards from scrimmage have been surrendered to RBs against the Raiders over the last five games.
2.) Steven Jackson, Atlanta at Carolina ($6700/4400)
The Panthers have allowed the seventh-most points to RBs over the last five weeks (five games) and sixth most this season. Carolina has allowed eight of its 11 rushing touchdowns over the last five games, and 486 rushing yards in that span. Jackson has put together back-to-back double-digit games for the first time this season, rushing for 141 yards and two scores
3.) Frank Gore, San Francisco vs. New York Giants ($7000/4500)
Gore has underwhelmed this season, but is coming off of a 23-carry game last week in New Orleans. It produced 81 yards and a score for his best game since his last 20-carry effort (Week 4 vs. Philadelphia). The Giants have allowed the most yards (675) to running backs along with the third-most TDs (6) over the last five weeks (four games).
1.) Andre Holmes, Oakland vs. San Diego ($6300/3700)
Holmes torched the Chargers when he caught four balls for 121 yards and two scores on eight targets from Derek Carr in the Week 6 meeting. He plays just over 60 percent of the snaps, and had been targeted an average of 5.6 times per game until a one-target dud against Denver's corners last week. It is a complete flier, but one with a recent history of success against a San Diego team that has allowed the most fantasy points to WRs over the last five weeks (four games).
2.) Pierre Garcon, Washington vs. Tampa Bay ($6500/4000)
No team has been more generous to WRs this season than Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers have allowed 14 touchdowns and nearly 1,700 yards to the position. Garcon has been a 50-50 guy this season in PPR setups and below average in standard leagues as he is no longer the X receiver for the Redskins under Jay Gruden. You are betting on the bargain, the recent history of what the Bucs allow, and the history between Garcon and Robert Griffin III.
3.) Kendall Wright, Tennessee vs. Pittsburgh ($6400/4600)
Wright has 50-plus yards receiving in each of his last three games, and three touchdowns over the last five weeks. The Steelers have allowed at least 70 yards to a WR eight times this season, including two Colts going for 113-plus in Week 8.
1.) Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota vs. Chicago ($N/A/3600)
Rudolph (groin) is expected to return this week for the first time since September. If he plays Sunday, it will be against a Chicago team that has allowed the most points to TEs per game this season. The Bears have surrendered 352 yards (third most) and seven scores to TEs. Rudolph had a TD, seven catches and 69 yards in two full healthy games to begin this season. This would be his first action since Week 3.
2.) Larry Donnell, New York Giants vs. San Francisco ($5200/3900)
The 49ers are allowing the seventh-most points to TEs over the last five weeks (four games), having surrendered 231 yards and three scores. Donnell has received 21 targets over the last three weeks, the most of any Giants players, turning them into 15 catches for 141 yards and a score.
3.) Mychal Rivera, Oakland vs. San Diego ($5800/3100)
Rivera continued his hot streak in Week 10, posting his second straight double-digit fantasy day. He has 21 catches on 28 targets for 185 yards and three scores the last three weeks.
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