World’s Best Preview: Adams and who in the passing game?
The Green Bay Packers’ offense is top-secret stuff. Except for one thing: Aaron Rodgers wants to throw the football to Davante Adams.
It’s a sound philosophy for Rodgers. Adams is Adams and, at this point, the other guys are the other guys.
Adams has caught 11-of-17 passes, a 64.7 percent catch rate. And everybody else?
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has caught 7-of-12 (58.3 percent) for 71 yards. He had a big 47-yard catch to set up the team’s lone touchdown vs. Chicago. Otherwise, he’s caught six passes for 24 yards.
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Geronimo Allison has caught 4-of-5 (80.0 percent) for 25 yards and one touchdown. Allison ran an excellent route for a 12-yard touchdown vs. Minnesota but also had a costly fumble that sapped the Packers of momentum for the rest of the game.
Jimmy Graham has caught 3-of-8 (37.5 percent) for 30 yards and one touchdown. He failed to catch a pass last week against the Vikings, just his second no-catch game the past five seasons.
Fellow tight ends Marcedes Lewis (2-of-4 for 14 yards) and Robert Tonyan (1-of-1 for 28 yards) have caught a combined 3-of-5. Receiver Jake Kumerow caught his only target for 12 yards and recently traded receiver Trevor Davis caught his only target for 28 yards.
Against Denver on Sunday, Adams once again will wear the defense’s bull’s-eye. He’ll face the Broncos’ best cornerback, Chris Harris, and be a focal point of the game plan created by defensive mastermind Vic Fangio. And it will be the same story next week against Philadelphia and the week after that against Dallas and so on until the Packers develop a reliable sidekick or sidekicks to No. 17.
“It’s about calling plays for those guys,” Rodgers said. “I think the key especially after Week 1 was finding more ways we can get Davante involved early. I went to him on the first play of the game for a big one that got us going. Had a couple shots for Marquez in the game plan that we didn’t end up hitting or we checked out of it, and we had a big play for G-Mo and hit him for a touchdown. I think the key is balance. We obviously have to get the ball to our playmakers as much as we can, but it’s not going to be everybody’s week every single week and they understand that. But anytime we can get the ball to Tae and Jimmy early, that’s important, and obviously get some shots to Quez down the field.”
Valdes-Scantling is supposed to be that much-needed complementary piece. Starting with the offseason practices and continuing throughout training camp, Adams and Valdes-Scantling were sequestered inside the Don Hutson Center with Rodgers and a few others working on the finer points of the offense during special-teams drills. Clearly, the Packers saw something – and see something – that gave them the belief that Valdes-Scantling’s combination of size and speed could provide a game-breaking element to Matt LaFleur’s offense.
“There’s always growth. You can’t go back,” he said. “You’ve got to keep moving forward and keep doing what I can to help this team win. Obviously, you want to go out and make more plays but you can’t complain when your team’s 2-0.”
The Packers’ receiver corps comes from the most humble of roots – with those roots getting even more humble this week. Adams entered the league as a second-round pick but Valdes-Scantling was taken with the last pick of the fifth round in 2018 and Allison, Kumerow, Allen Lazard and rookie Darrius Shepherd went undrafted. Equanimeous St. Brown (sixth round) is on injured reserve and Trevor Davis (fifth round) was traded this week.
Do the Packers really have the horses to make defenses pay for ganging up on Adams? It’s far too early to have a definitive answer to that question, though the performance of the offense in the first two games isn’t inspiring. Adams has 10 of the team’s 18 passing first downs and has averaged 8.4 yards per target. Other than Valdes-Scantling’s long catch, he’s averaged 2.2 yards per target. Allison has averaged 5.0 yards per target. Graham has averaged 3.8 yards per target. That’s just not going to work over the long haul.
“The key is throwing the ball to the open guy and, if Tae’s not open, we need those guys to be making plays down the field,” Rodgers said. “We had a couple of plays to Quez – I threw the one high and he got ridden 7 yards out of bounds, and then we had a couple other opportunities that just didn’t look right. So, we’ll keep working through things.”
Added Valdes-Scantling: “I think the sky’s the limit for this offense. We’ve got talented players all over this offense, from top to bottom. I think the sky’s the limit. We can be very successful and do a lot of great things once we get it all figured out. We got better from Week 1 to Week 2; we’ve just got to keep getting better.”
Best against best: In the third quarter of last week’s game against Minnesota, Adams made a diving catch against Pro Bowl cornerback Xavier Rhodes. Rhodes slammed the turf with his fist in frustration.
That’s the effect Adams can have on the top defenders in the league. He’ll face another against the Broncos’ Chris Harris.
“He’s a really good corner, and he has been for a while now,” Packers coach Matt LaFleur said. “So, we know that’ll be a good matchup. We anticipate him probably traveling with Davante, so we’re excited to see that unfold on Sunday.”
Harris is, indeed, a really good corner. He’s made the Pro Bowl four of the past five seasons. In Year 9, he has 19 career interceptions. According to Sports Info Solutions, Harris has allowed 5-of-7 passing for 67 yards to start this season. He allowed a 62.5 percent completion rate with three interceptions last year after yielding 48.6 percent in 2017 and 44.2 percent in 2016.
Adams, of course, is really good, too. Of his 11 receptions this season, he’s turned 10 of those into first downs. He hasn’t scored this season; his 35 touchdown catches from 2016 through 2018 were only one less than Antonio Brown’s league-leading figure.
“He’s a great receiver,” Harris told Broncos beat reporters this week. “He has great releases and great hands. Him and Aaron Rodgers have great chemistry. What’s another great word? They just kind of know where — it’s just great connection. It’s like they’re twins. It’s like they have a different sense, the same senses of each other. They just know where to be. He just knows how to get open. It’s going to definitely be a great challenge for me this week going up there and challenging him, but it’s nothing I haven’t done before.”
Second-half struggles: Green Bay has scored only three points in the second half of their two games. Only Miami (zero) has scored less. So, perhaps this isn’t a surprise: According to STATS, Rodgers has completed 69.0 percent of his passes in the first half but 50.0 percent in the second half.
Crossing the 50: We wrote about Denver’s potentially underrated offense in one of the main pieces of the preview. Here’s an extra point from that: Denver’s offense has had a league-low 17 possessions. It has crossed midfield 14 times, a rate of 82.4 percent.