5 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 16

Mike Tomlin's Pittsburgh Steelers have lost three in a row and are slight home underdogs to Indianapolis

As the holiday weekend approaches, the NFL playoff picture begins to settle in. It's crunch time as division races are coming down the final stretch and teams are fighting for their playoff lives. And this weekend features some terrific matchups between divisional foes and possible Super Bowl opponents throughout the league.

 

Last week, for the first time all season, we ran into not one, but two pushes! Still, it was a week where we managed to come out ahead, and that’s something to take into the holiday weekend. Here is a look at the games on the board this weekend around the National Football League.

 

Note: All times are ET and games are on Sunday, Dec. 27.

 

Kansas City (-10.5) vs. Atlanta, 1 p.m.

It has been pretty easy to pick Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs this season, and this weekend should be no exception. Kansas City at home against a four-win Falcons team should be an easy victory. And winning by more than two scores feels like a pretty safe bet to make this weekend with the Chiefs having an opportunity to lock up home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs. Chiefs 34, Falcons 17

 

Cleveland (-9.5) vs. New York Jets, 1 p.m.

The Jets managed to surprise the football world last week with a win that may ultimately cost them a shot to draft Trevor Lawrence out of Clemson with the No. 1 overall pick. The Jets will return to their losing ways this weekend against Baker Mayfield and the Browns. Cleveland is still in the mix to win the AFC North and they'll win 11 games for the first time since 1994 when Bill Belichick was the head coach. Browns 38, Jets 24

 

Pittsburgh (+1.5) vs. Indianapolis, 1 p.m.

The Steelers went from having the inside track to home-field advantage in the AFC playoff field to fighting to hold on to their lead in the division. Three straight losses have hit Pittsburgh at a bad time, and they have not looked good in this stretch. It won't be much easier with the Colts defense this weekend either. But at some point, the Steelers will return to the win column. Taking them as a slight underdog at home could be a good play this weekend. Steelers 26, Colts 23

 

Baltimore (-11) vs. New York Giants, 1 p.m.

After getting through their own bad stretch of the regular season, the Ravens have won three straight games, and the offense is back in gear with Lamar Jackson and company putting up 40 points in back-to-back games. They may not hit 40 points this week against the Giants, but they will secure a win to remain in playoff position. Ravens 33, Giants 17

 

Philadelphia (-2.5) at Dallas, 4:25 p.m.

All aboard the Jalen Hurts bandwagon in Philly. After winning his first start against the Saints, Hurts turned in a solid performance on the road against Arizona last weekend. Although it did not net a second straight win for the Eagles, the energy of the offense was noticeable with Hurts at quarterback. That should continue this weekend on the road against the Cowboys, who have played better lately as well. Hurts will keep the Eagles' offense moving and add to the brewing quarterback controversy in Philadelphia heading into 2021. Eagles 34, Cowboys 31

 

Last Week: 2-1-2

Season: 37-35-2

 

— Written by Kevin McGuire, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network. Follow him on Patreon, on Twitter @KevinOnCFB, on Instagram, and Like him on Facebook.

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