5 NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 17

Baker Mayfield's Browns are heavy favorites in a must-win game against shorthanded Pittsburgh

The NFL's regular season is crossing the finish line, and the playoff field is about to be set in stone. Division races will be settled in the AFC South and NFC East, and playoff positions in both conferences will be hashed out with Sunday's results. The final week of the season is typically a difficult one to predict, but we'll give it one final shot as we try to finish the year ahead with picks against the spread.

 

Note: All games are on Sunday, Jan. 3, 2021, and all times are eastern.

 

Pittsburgh (+10) at Cleveland, 1 p.m.

The Steelers already clinched the AFC North, but they do have a shot to grab the top seed and first-round bye with a win. However, the Steelers will be resting Ben Roethlisberger in a game the Browns must win. This is a risky move to make for a Pittsburgh team that has lost three of its last four games. Cleveland winning by two scores still feels a tad high. Take the Browns for the win, but expect a bigger fight than some seem to expect from Pittsburgh. Browns 26, Steelers 17

 

Baltimore (-11.5) at Cincinnati, 1 p.m.

Like Cleveland, Baltimore is hoping to grab one of the final spots in the AFC playoff field with a win. And like the Browns, the Ravens have a favorable draw in its divisional matchup against lowly Cincinnati. Lamar Jackson and the Ravens go off on the Bengals and rest easy in the second half. Baltimore 31, Cincinnati 13

 

New England (-3) vs. New York Jets, 1 p.m.

The Jets have already ruined their chance to grab the No. 1 overall pick in the draft, and the Patriots have already clinched a rare losing season. But some things will remain the same, and the Patriots topping the Jets will still be a thing that exists in 2021. Patriots 26, Jets 20

 

Indianapolis (-14) vs. Jacksonville, 4:25 p.m.

The Colts may be a two-touchdown favorite, but they may as well be a 30-point favorite given the situation. The Colts need a win and the Jaguars have locked up the first pick in the draft. Indianapolis should cruise to an easy victory as they hope to get into the postseason. Colts 42, Jaguars 10

 

Philadelphia (+3) vs. Washington, 8:20 p.m. (SNF)

Washington has an opportunity on Sunday night to clinch the worst division in the NFL, and the Eagles could move up in the draft order with a loss. But there might be just enough fight in the Eagles to avenge their season-opening loss to Washington to close out the season. Washington's quarterback situation is not in an ideal spot, and that could haunt this team with a division title on the line. Eagles 26, Washington 23

 

Last Week: 2-3

Season: 39-38-2

 

— Written by Kevin McGuire, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network. Follow him on Patreon, on Twitter @KevinOnCFB, on Instagram, and Like him on Facebook.

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