NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 5

Deshaun Watson and the winless Houston Texans enter the post-Bill O'Brien era as a near-touchdown home favorite

This has already been a busy week for the NFL with the first head coach being let go and two teams returning to action following an abrupt bye week caused by a COVID-19 outbreak. The effects are still being felt this week with two games (Denver-New England, Buffalo-Tennessee) initially being moved to different dates and the NFL announcing earlier Sunday that the Broncos-Patriots game has been postponed entirely. The Bills and Titans are still scheduled to play on Tuesday night but that could change as well.

 

In Week 5, the Houston Texans will look for their first win of the season just days after making the first head coaching change in the NFL this season. They are already due for a win, so they may be one of the enticing picks to consider this week around the NFL. What other picks should you be taking a look at?

 

Note: All times are ET and all games are on Sunday, Oct. 11.

 

Here are this week's best NFL picks against the spread:

 

Houston (-6) vs. Jacksonville, 1 p.m.

Needless to say, this has been quite a week for the Houston Texans. But it's just the kind of week that could end with them breaking out of their slump in a big way. Deshaun Watson goes bonkers in the first game of the post-Bill O'Brien era and all will seem right in Houston for one week. Houston 34, Jacksonville 23

 

Kansas City (-13.5) vs. Las Vegas, 1 p.m.

We're following a pretty simple rule here. The Chiefs have won three of their four games by at least 14 points, so there is a good reason to feel comfortable taking them against a 13.5-point spread. It may be a narrow margin for error, but the Chiefs are rolling and are worth riding the hot hand as much as possible. Chiefs 38, Raiders 20

 

Baltimore (-13) vs. Cincinnati, 1 p.m.

Joe Burrow has had a nice start to his NFL career, but he has yet to face one of the best defenses in the AFC. Aside from their setback against the Chiefs (again, ride that Kansas City hot hand), Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have been excellent. The Ravens will look forward to seeing Burrow for the first time, and they may make him the most uncomfortable he's been so far. Ravens 27, Bengals 12

 

Seattle (-7) vs. Minnesota, 8:20 p.m. (SNF)

The Vikings have been one of the more disappointing teams to start the season, so going on the road to face Russell Wilson and the Seahawks isn't exactly the best spot to be in this week. Seattle is a clean 4-0 and looking for a 5-0 start to assure the team remains on top of the NFC West. The Vikings have kept a few games close, but Seattle will get a late score to cover this one. Seattle 26, Minnesota 17

 

Last week: 3-2

Season to date: 12-8

 

— Written by Kevin McGuire, who is part of the Athlon Contributor Network. Follow him on Patreon, on Twitter @KevinOnCFB, on Instagram, and Like him on Facebook.

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