Sam Darnold and the Jets have fared much better at home this season
Turkey day has wrapped up and the tryptophan for some NFL teams has worn off so it's time to kick things into high gear with the final quarter of the season. Some teams are fighting for their playoff lives while others are already looking at their rosters with an eye toward next year.
Note: All times are ET and all games are on Sunday, Dec. 8 unless otherwise noted.
Here are this week's best NFL picks against the spread:
Washington Redskins (3-9) at Green Bay Packers (9-3), 1 p.m. ET
The Redskins are riding high after upsetting Carolina, surprising so many people they got Ron Rivera fired. Even as good as their young offensive trio played against the Panthers though, asking for a repeat performance against a division leader on the road seems like a stretch. The Packers are 5-1 at home this year and Aaron Rodgers has to be licking his chops watching film of this Washington secondary. Double-digit lines are always tough in the league but this number looks mighty appetizing. The Pick: Green Bay -13
Miami Dolphins (3-9) at New York Jets (4-8), 1 p.m. ET
The Jets have been the first victim of previously winless Cincinnati and previously winless Miami this season. They looked like they were turning the corner not long ago and the return to MetLife Stadium (where three of their four wins have come) should provide a nice spark. New York will be plenty focused on making sure they're not going to get swept by a rebuilding division rival and do what's necessary to win by a touchdown in the end. The Pick: Jets -5.5
Baltimore (10-2) at Buffalo (9-3), 1 p.m. ET
This one is tricky as it very well could be an early preview of a potential AFC playoff game down the road. The Bills have won and covered in their last three games, turning in their most impressive performance of the year by thumping the Cowboys in Dallas. Josh Allen has limited turnovers and the defense continues to look feisty. The Ravens are bound to come back to earth a bit, especially after a big emotional win, but they can go into Buffalo and win by a touchdown in a game that should have a limited number of possessions for both sides. The Pick: Baltimore -5.5
New York Giants (2-10) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-7), 8:15 p.m. ET (Mon.)
Somehow, the Eagles are still in the playoff hunt even with that dispiriting loss to Miami last week. There are a lot of problems with the team overall but at least things are going better than New York, which is hearing the hot seat talk about their head coach and will now be going back to Eli Manning at QB. The number has grown to where it's an attractive play at the moment as division games are usually close and Philly isn't leaps and bounds better than their rivals despite some in the city not being able to come to grips with it. The Pick: New York +9.5
Last Week: 2-2
— Written by Bryan Fischer, an award-winning college football columnist and member of the Athlon Contributor Network. You can follow him from coast-to-coast on Twitter, Instagram and Snapchat at @BryanDFischer.