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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6


A betting preview of every game (against the spread) on Sunday and Monday in Week 6.

Locks of the Week
Take the birds in a pair of blowouts over a couple of teams who have made a trend of getting blown out on the road so far this season.

Cardinals (-5) vs. Bills
Buffalo has been getting slaughtered the past two weeks, losing to San Fran 45–3 after taking a 52–28 defeat against New England.

Falcons (-9) vs. Raiders
Oakland has not won in the Eastern Time Zone since Week 10 of the 2009 season. Meanwhile, Matt Ryan has a 27–4 career record at the Georgia Dome.

Straight Up Upsets
Familiarity breeds contempt. Division rivalries produce upsets.

Broncos (+1.5) at Chargers
Peyton Manning is only 4–5 against the Bolts, including a 2–2 mark in sunny San Diego. But No. 18 has shined on Monday Night Football, with an 11–4 record under the lights.

Browns (+3) vs. Bengals
In Week 2, Cincy beat Cleveland 34–27. This time around, the winless Browns will put it together for an in-state upset at the Dawg Pound.

Backdoor Covers
These may turn out to be straight up upsets when the dust settles. If not, a close loss should pay the same as an outright win for those trying to scratch out some more scratch.

Rams (+4) at Dolphins
Jeff Fisher’s mustache hits South Beach to wax the unpredictable Fins.

Seahawks (+4) vs. Patriots
This will be Tom Brady’s first game in Seattle and the Pats are 5–4 on the West Coast under Bill Belichick.

Giants (+6.5) at 49ers
A rematch of last year’s NFC title game, which was a 20–17 win for the G-Men.

Sucker Bets
Good games but bad bets. Treat these matchups like Rex Ryan treats Tim Tebow — ignore that they exist despite constant reminders to the contrary.

Jets (-3) vs. Colts
Tim who? The J-E-T-S quarterback is Mark Sanchez, a USC product. Back on the Farm, Andrew Luck was 3–0 against the Trojans.

Texans (-3) vs. Packers
Houston is riding high, Green Bay is laying low; this Sunday night fight could go either way.

Buccaneers (-4) vs. Chiefs
K.C.’s Brady Quinn has a 3–9 record as a starter, but betting on the inconsistent young Bucs to cover is a risky proposition.

Ravens (-4) vs. Cowboys
The Boys are coming off a bye week, while the Ravens are fresh off an ugly 9–6 win at Kansas City.

Eagles (-4) vs. Lions
Michael Vick’s seven TDs (six pass, one rush) and 11 turnovers (six INTs, five lost fumbles) make Philly too volatile to bank on.

Off the Board
As long as the status of RG3 is up in the air, the Vikes-Skins game will be off the board.

Vikings (N/A) at Redskins
Let’s bet on the game day betting line: I’ll take Redskins (-2.5) if RG3 plays, Vikings (-1) if it’s the other rookie (KC1?) at QB.

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