Super Bowl betting — and prop bets, in particular — attract sharks and suckers alike who can’t afford a $3.5-million, 30-second commercial spot on NBC’s telecast or a $2,500 nosebleed seat at Lucas Oil Stadium, but do have a some lunch money to wager on Super Sunday.
Here’s a quick look this year’s popular Super Bowl bets, along with advice on where the smart money should play. For consistency’s sake, all odds and lines are courtesy of Bovada.lv — the online gambling website formerly known as Bodog.com.
(For the average Joe who doesn’t speak in Vegas tongues, when the odds are -150, you must wager $150 in order to win $100; when the odds are +150, your $100 bet nets $150. Just FYI.)
How long will it take Kelly Clarkson to sing the National Anthem?
Over 1:34 (-120)
Under 1:34 (-120)
Last year’s over-under on Christina Aguilera’s now infamous “Star-Mangled Banner” was 1:54. This year, Kelly Clarkson will do justice to the Francis Scott Key classic, show off her American Idol-winning voice, hit all the notes, remember every last lyric and take longer than 1:34 to do so.
Heads or tails?
Heads has a 23–22 all-time edge. Tails will even the score this time around. After all, “tails never fails” — unless you are the old man at the gas station in No Country For Old Men; he was lucky to have called “heads.”
Which team will win coin toss?
The NFC has won 14 consecutive coin tosses and carries a 31–14 all-time advantage. Look for the G-Men to keep the streak alive — especially if Peyton Manning tosses the coin for a few free hand-tossed Papa John’s pizzas.
Will Madonna wear an NFL jersey or shirt at any point during the Super Bowl halftime show?
Madonna is the first female Super Bowl halftime act since Janet Jackson’s nipple slip “wardrobe malfunction” midway through the Patriots’ Super Bowl XXXVIII win. And while she may have a British accent and guns bigger than Wes Welker, there’s no way she wears any of Roger Goodell’s gear during her Cirque du Soleil show.
Will Madonna be wearing fishnet stockings at any point during the Super Bowl halftime show?
It’s the Super Bowl, the 53-year-old Material Girl will do something new, right? Maybe wear a torpedo bra or a wedding dress? That’s fresh.
Total touchdowns scored in game
Over 6.5 (Even)
Under 6.5 (-130)
Before last year’s Packers-Steelers 31–25 seven-TD shootout, there had not been as many trips to the end zone since the Patriots-Panthers epic fourth-quarter flurry of Super Bowl XXXVIII. The Giants and Patriots combined to score four TDs in Super Bowl XLII and five in Week 9 this season.
Total field goals made in game
Over 3.5 (+135)
Under 3.5 (-165)
Although Adam Vinatieri is the greatest clutch kicker in NFL playoff history, the Patriots have kicked a grand total of four field goals in their four Super Bowl trips under Bill Belichick.
In 19 games this year, Giants kicker Lawrence Tynes has made zero or one field goal 11 times, two field goals seven times and three field goals exactly once — at Green Bay in the Divisional Round.
Will the team that scores last win the game?
I believe (hope?) it will be that kind of Super Bowl.
Will the game go to overtime?
There has never been an overtime game in Super Bowl history. Ofer-45. Go ahead and bet $1,200 to make a sweet $100 profit that there will be no free football. Seriously, don’t do that. Put all your money on the coin toss.
Will the game be decided by exactly three points?
It is true that all four Super Bowls started by Tom Brady have been decided by a three-point margin — a 20–17 win over the Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI, 32–29 win over the Panthers in Super Bowl XXXVIII, 24–21 win over the Eagles in Super Bowl XXXIX and 17–14 loss to the Giants in Super Bowl XLII. But don’t bank on a fifth straight field goal difference.
What color will the Gatorade (or liquid) be that is dumped on the head coach of the winning Super Bowl team?
The Giants dumped clear/water on coach Tom Coughlin after beating the Cowboys in a playoff play-in in Week 17 and following Super Bowl XLII. The Patriots did not dump anything on Bill Belichick — don’t want to ruin the hoody — after Super Bowls XXXVI or XXXVIII, but hit him with a little clear/water after XXXIX.
Who will be named Super Bowl MVP?
Tom Brady (7/5)
Eli Manning (9/4)
Victor Cruz (8/1)
Hakeem Nicks (12/1)
Rob Gronkowski (12/1)
Wes Welker (12/1)
Aaron Hernandez (16/1)
Ahmad Bradshaw (20/1)
BenJarvus Green-Ellis (25/1)
Jason Pierre-Paul (25/1)
15 Other Players (35/1 to 100/1)
Since Tom Brady won the MVP as the then-youngest Super Bowl-winning quarterback, six of 10 MVPs have been QBs. The other four were comprised of three receivers and Ray Lewis.
New York Giants (+3) (+115)
New England Patriots (-3) (-135)
The Giants pass rush will give Tom Brady trouble, especially if Rob Gronkowski is limping around like he was on Tuesday’s Media Day. The Patriots’ secondary will finally fall apart, with Eli Manning finding Hakeem Nicks, Victor Cruz and Mario Manningham downfield enough times to win a second Super Bowl in five years.
Over 54 points (-105)
Under 54 points (-115)
The Big Blue Wrecking Crew defense holds strong and Elite Eli makes a few plays when it matters, as the Giants pull out another close victory over the Patriots — just like Super Bowl XLII (31 combined points) and Week 9 this year (44).
by Nathan Rush