Top 10 Super Bowl 53 Prop Bets

These range from longshots to great values

To me, there's a lot more money to be made on the Super Bowl prop bets if you play your cards right. My biggest advice though is before you even look at the prop sheet, you need to sit down and visualize how the game is going to actually play out. You have to decide who is going to win, what the score will be, and how you see the game playing out. If you think a certain team wins in a blowout, then you may want to load up on certain props with them. You'll see my picks correspond to the 31-20 score that I picked in the ATS article.

 

Also, please set a certain amount of your bankroll that you want to use. It's very easy to blow through a lot more money then you want to spend when it comes to the props. If you are going to do that, then I'd consider skipping the side and total of the game itself. There is money to be made in this area. I pretty much only take props that are plus money because I want the extra value. I realize that I may not get all of them right, but you give yourself a little leeway if you hit a big prop and miss on a couple of smaller ones. I also love the cross-sport ones because they are fun to follow.

 

With that, let's take a look at what I like from several of the sportsbooks in Vegas.

 

Patriots -7.5 (+200)

I'm predicting a 31-20 score and I think there's a good chance this game is not that close. If that's the case then give me the Pats at this price.

 

Any other score will be the first score of the game (+170)

I'm a big fan of a field goal being the first score of the contest. Remember, last year's Super Bowl featured a ton of points, but a pair of field goals started us off.

 

Over 2.5 touchdown passes Tom Brady (+170) [Westgate Las Vegas]

I think New England gets it done more through the air then they do on the ground. Six times this season Brady has thrown at least there TD passes and he attempted a total of 90 passes in the first two playoff games. Brady may want to show America that despite his age, he's still got it going on.

 

Rams punt (+110) to occur before Rams score

This is all new for Los Angeles and I really think this young team could get off to a slow start. A lot of times the first drive or two in the Super Bowl is a feeling out process. I think New England's defense steps up and gets that punt for us.

 

Sony Michel (+110) to score before Todd Gurley

Yes, I just said above that Tom Brady is going to throw for three touchdowns, but I think the fourth one comes from the rookie running back out of Georgia. There's no guarantee that Gurley gets the full workload and maybe C.J. Anderson steals some carries (and a TD).

 

Mike Conley Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110) more than Patriots points -0.5

Once again, I've decided this will be a 31-20 game in favor of the Patriots. Mike Conley is averaging around 20 points, six assists and three rebounds per game for the Memphis Grizzlies. They are playing against the Knicks in New York on Super Sunday where I think the game will be a little bit more up tempo. The point guard had 23 points, four rebounds, and 11 assists against New York at home back on Nov. 25. Give me the hoopster.

 

Mike Daum points (-1.5) vs. Gerald Everett (-110)

I love Mike Daum, senior power forward for the South Dakota State Jackrabbits. The dude is an absolute monster and he's regularly scoring 30 points or more per game. Entering Thursday night's game against Oral Roberts he's put together four straight 30-point performances. One of his worst outings was against Denver (not the Broncos or the Nuggets) back on Jan. 10 when he put up only 10 points. Guess who he plays on Sunday? That's right, these same pesky Pioneers and you know he'll want to play better this time around. Gerald Everett is a very hot-and-cold tight end. He had two catches for 50 yards against the Saints after not showing up on the stat sheet against the Cowboys. I'll take a shot with the Jackrabbit over the tight end.

 

James White receiving yards (+10.5) vs. New Hampshire points (-110)

New Hampshire (3-17) has struggled to score this season, averaging fewer than 62 points per game which ranks them in the bottom 10 of the nation (out of 351 Division I teams). On Sunday, the Wildcats will face Maine on the road. The Black Bears (4-18) are just a couple of spots ahead of New Hampshire in the scoring department (63 ppg), so don't expect a ton of points in this one. This play is at the whim of Bill Belichick and how much he wants to use White. Case in point, he had 17 targets vs. the Chargers and six against the Chiefs. Still, White is usually good for some involvement. The thing that scares me is that I'm predicting New England will be playing from ahead which means White might not be as involved. Still, I'll take my chance that New Hampshire lays another egg and we get a solid effort from the RB.

 

Patriots to win by 9-12 points (8/1)

Very specific bet, but once again, the value is there and I have New England winning 31-20 which fits in this range.

 

James Develin/Field to score first points (25/1)

This is a bet courtesy of William Hill out of Las Vegas. The reason why the price is so big is because the field goal kickers are also included since it's first points overall. Field also is the winner if a safety is the first score. This category also includes defensive players so even if the fullback doesn't score, there are other options. I will just throw a few bucks on this prop so don't go crazy. If we hit it, then most likely we'll be up on Super Bowl Sunday no matter what.

 

— Written by Matt Josephs, who is a part of the Athlon Sports Contributor Network. Josephs prefers non-Power 5 college football and may be the only one wagering on the Sun Belt. Follow him on Twitter @MidMajorMatt.

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