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Week 11 2016 NFL Picks: Challenge Athlon Sports Experts!


The NFL season is more than halfway over, and the competition off the field among fans is nearly as heated as the competition on the field on game day.

The Athlon Sports Pro Football Experts Club presented by New Era gives you the chance to compete with your friends and our experts each week.

Think you’re up for taking on our experts every week? Think you can beat the writers and editors each week? Join our weekly pick ‘em game and compete for tons of cool prizes.

Here are this week’s picks from Athlon Sports senior editor John Gworek:

Thursday's Game

New Orleans at Carolina

The Saints won the first meeting 41–38, and this one will likely be another shootout with the loser all but out of the NFC South race. New Orleans may be good; all five of their losses are to teams in playoff position, and last week’s loss to Denver was on a fluke PAT block.

Gworek's Pick: New Orleans, 36–31

Sunday’s Games

Pittsburgh at Cleveland

The Steelers are reeling; they’ve lost four in a row and haven’t won away from home since the season opener. Ben Roethlisberger has struggled on the road for more than a year, but the Browns are winless for a reason. No upset here.

Gworek's Pick: Pittsburgh, 31–17

Baltimore at Dallas

The Ravens have the NFL’s top defense, and Dak Prescott is due for one of those days where nothing goes right for a rookie quarterback. Right? Maybe. But can the Ravens offense take advantage? Probably not.

Gworek's Pick: Dallas, 20–16

Jacksonville at Detroit

The Lions may not be as good as their 5–4 record; their biggest win is by six points, and that came in overtime. But Jacksonville is a mess. Since their bye, the Jags have gone 1–4 and turned the ball over 12 times — without forcing a single turnover on defense.

Gworek's Pick: Lions, 26–20

Tennessee at Indianapolis

One of these teams has scored at least 35 points in three straight games, and it’s not the one with Andrew Luck at quarterback. Since a 1–3 start, Marcus Mariota and the Titans are 4–2 and averaging 33.7 points per game. Will that be enough to snap a 10-game losing streak to the Colts?

Gworek's Pick: Tennessee, 31–30

Buffalo at Cincinnati

The Bills will miss Pro Bowl center Eric Wood, but they have been surprisingly consistent offensively and rank ninth in the league in scoring. Cincinnati is just 22nd despite ranking eighth in total offense. A.J. Green should have a big day, but it feels like one of those years where everything goes wrong for the Bengals.

Gworek's Pick: Buffalo, 27–24

Tampa Bay at Kansas City

The Chiefs have won five in a row and are 7–2 despite having been outgained in seven of their nine games; they just find ways to win. The Bucs are still hanging on the edge of the NFC South race, but they play four of their next six on the road.

Gworek's Pick: Kansas City, 23–17

Chicago at N.Y. Giants

Much like the Chiefs, the Giants are getting better results (6–3) than their numbers might indicate (minus-2 point differential, minus-8 turnover differential). The Bears, on the other hand, are right where you’d expect a team that hasn’t scored more than 23 points in any game to be — at 2–7.

Gworek's Pick: N.Y. Giants, 28–17

Arizona at Minnesota

The Cards have struggled to score at times, mostly because they turn it over too much (16 giveaways, 26th in the league). But they also rank seventh in total offense and second in total defense; this is still a good team. The Vikes have been so bad on offense that every time the defense allows even 20 points, they lose.

Gworek's Pick: Arizona, 20–13

Miami at Los Angeles

Jared Goff finally gets his shot for the Rams, and he can’t do much worse than Case Keenum did. Los Angeles ranks 31st in total offense and 32nd in scoring. The Dolphins are rolling with four straight wins, although they needed a Philip Rivers meltdown to beat the Chargers last week.

Gworek's Pick: Miami, 20–10

New England at San Francisco

The 49ers have the NFL’s worst defense by just about any measure. They are especially bad against the run, so expect a big day from  LeGarrette Blount, who already leads the NFL in touchdowns. Injured Pats tight end Rob Gronkowski will not be missed this week.

Gworek's Pick: New England, 36–17

Philadelphia at Seattle

The Eagles have been a much better team at home, especially on defense, so a trip to Seattle will be a challenge. The Seahawks turned the ball over just once since September and put up a season-high 420 yards of offense against New England last week. But they must protect Russell Wilson against a Philly pass rush that has 25 sacks (sixth in the NFL)

Gworek's Pick: Seattle, 26–20

Green Bay at Washington

What is wrong with Aaron Rodgers? Maybe nothing, the Packers are averaging 27.6 points during a three-game losing streak; they just  can’t stop anyone. Washington is 5–1–1 since an 0–2 start. The Skins rank fourth in the NFL in total offense, and Kirk Cousins is on pace for another 4,000-yard passing season.

Gworek's Pick: Washington, 30–28

Monday’s Game

Houston at Oakland (in Mexico City)

The Texans lead the AFC South despite ranking 29th in the NFL in scoring, 30th in total offense and 26th in point differential. The Raiders rank fifth in both scoring and total offense, and when they score 30 or more points, they are 5–0. Oakland won’t quite get there against the Texans defense, but it will get enough points to win.

Gworek's Pick: Oakland, 28–23

Week 10 Record: 5–9

Overall Record: 79–66–2