The rash of quarterback injuries coupled with the play of some fringe quarterbacks that we were not expecting decent games from over the last few weeks, leaves us at a fantasy crossroads on this Thanksgiving Day.
Miami Dolphins quarterback Matt Moore suits up against Dallas in Week 12 and is one of those crossroads type of players — he’s coming off a good week, you need a QB but it’s unlikely he will get your fantasy week off to a resounding start.
Moore plays at the Dallas Cowboys, and probably has the greatest chance at success of the three fringe QBs playing today — Baltimore’s Joe Flacco and San Francisco’s Alex Smith face each other in the Thanksgiving night cap with unfavorable matchups for each.
Moore posted his third double-digit fantasy game in four weeks last week, but had a 6.76- and 13.62-point effort in there as well. He threw for 160 yards and three TDs in Week 11’s blowout win against Buffalo for 18.6 fantasy points.
Like the Bills defensive backfield, the Cowboys is somewhat pieced together. Dallas has allowed 226.2 yards passing per game over the last five weeks with five TDs and eight interceptions. The first five weeks, they surrendered 258.6 yards per game with nine TDs and six picks.
It’s pretty hard to bank the start of your fantasy week on a QB that is so dependent upon the touchdown to have any consistent production. Moore’s season high in yards is 244 and he has thrown 209 or less in every other game. The three-TD game he had last week was his second in three weeks (at Kansas City). In the other five starts, Moore has one TD against five interceptions.
Dallas is ninth in scoring at 25 points per game. Initial thoughts would be that Dallas is at home with its high-octane offense of Tony Romo, Jason Witten, Dez Bryant, DeMarco Murray and Laurent Robinson and could walk through the 3-7 Dolphins. But Miami has allowed 226.7 passing yards per game, no TD passes and four picks in its current three-game winning streak. The Dolphins are ranked sixth in points per game (18.6) allowed this season and have not surrendered more than nine points during the last three weeks.
The three-game win streak has come at the hands of Kansas City, Washington and Buffalo — not necessarily powers in the NFL right now. But this is a strange season, and it is becoming harder and harder to predict who has the best chance to do what each week.
Like I said, Moore has the most promise of the fringe plays at QB today, but this one seems like it will be more of a ball-control game on both sides. Even if Moore and Miami were to get down, his track record of low-yardage passing days and no-TD days when the Dolphins were losing seven in a row does not fill me with confidence that he’s a good start either ahead or behind.
By Corby A. Yarbrough @Corby_Yarbrough on Twitter